Has anybody ever heard of Conspiracy Logistics? I don’t think so. I think I made up the term. In fact, there are no conspiracy logistics. There can be no conspiracy logistics. Why? Getting down to logistics– in other words investigation– either exposes a conspiracy or solves it. No more theory.
There seems to be one exception.
When it comes to the assassination of President John F. Kennedy, I think it is time to wipe out all the theories— most are little more than urban legends anyway— and restart with logistics. It’s a great word. It comes from logic, and I have tried to impress time and time again that logic is universal. The Law of Cause and Effect is immutable. Nothing just happens. Motive goes hand-in-hand with human action. By analyzing actions we can open the door to the person’s motive. And that’s all logic is. It is merely a criterion— the conclusions we make must be supported by the reasons we give; our actions must be in response to our motives. Actions are in perpetual motion. Logic merely tells us if they are logical or illogical.
Logistically, what is the best way to shoot a moving target? Easily answered: when it’s in a straight line with you— i.e. approaching or receding away from you. When the target is moving across your field of vision, you must lead your shot. That takes timing and skill. When did Oswald fire (for the sake of argument we will maintain Oswald fired)? Logistically at the right time. Kennedy’s motorcade was heading away from the Texas Schoolbook Depository. Oswald did not fire as Kennedy’s motorcade turned onto Elm Street right under him. He waited for an easy straight line-of-sight.
That takes some planning aforethought, especially if you look at the entire route from Love Field. The motorcade always made right or left turns. There was no place for an assassin to be in a window without leaning out, exposing himself to all below, so he could hit a target coming on. The result would be that everybody would look up, see him, then duck. Chances of hitting his target and escaping are slim. If the assassin remained lurking in the window, he would have to lead his shot and try to hit his target. This takes a good marksman.
There is one exception. The Texas Schoolbook Depository. Here Elm Street leads away at an angle. All it required is that Oswald lean in the window corner, hidden from view, and aim at a steady target moving in a straight line from him. No one to see him in the motorcade because he is behind them and they are moving away. All eyes are watching the motorcade leave. Oswald obviously did not act on impulse. He didn’t grab a gun and take aim out the window for the first time. Oswald did not only select the right window, he selected the right and only building in the entire motorcade route from which he could easily hit a target in light-of-sight. Oswald thought of logistics. He selected everything carefully. He fired at the right time. Sadly, he succeeded.
Obviously, Oswald also knew the limitations of his marksmanship. He was not a great marksman. In the military there are 3 classifications– Marksman, Sharpshooter, and Expert. He was only a Marksman, which basically most soldiers are.
All of this hardly seems coincidental. It seems well thought out, all of it the product of taking into consideration that a mediocre gunman would be involved. In preparation, Oswald must have carefully surveyed the entire motorcade route in advance in order to even consider getting a job at the Texas Schoolbook Depository. The other alternative is that Oswald got the job there and someone knew of his past leftwing actions and solicited him. The second possibility requires a few coincidences, but the first does not. Getting a job there would be the logical choice of a mediocre gunman who had logistically surveyed the route beforehand.
Was Oswald capable of this logistic forethought? It would seem so. Apparently this was not his first assassination attempt. This is the case of the attempted assassination of General Edwin Walker, a radical right winger. Investigators uncovered much incriminating evidence linking Oswald to it. On April 10, 1963, the assassin lurked in the dead of night (9 p.m.) and fired at Walker through his home window. The bullet hit the window frame instead of the glass and Walker was saved.
Much information was found in Oswald’s possession at home that showed he had visited Walker’s house, backyard, and had even taken pictures. One photo was taken from where the sniper would later fire. From an assassin’s point of view all this is indeed logical. He thought it all out. In the darkness of night who will see him? One shot. Flee in the night, transpose back into inky darkness. Take up routine life in the day and none are the wiser. If Oswald was this sniper, then he was indeed capable of careful, logistic thought when it came to attacking his victim and then saving his own hide by a preplanned escape route.
This presents us with a problem in trying to assess Oswald’s strategy at the Texas Schoolbook Depository. This was not a nighttime shooting. This was his own place of work. Broad daylight. One can dream this scenario up in their mind and say ‘I will smuggle a gun into my own place of work, in broad daylight, lean in the open window and take pot shots at the President of the United States.’ Logistically, though, how do you do that and think you won’t get caught?
Oswald must have taken some logistic thought about his escape. Yet from Oswald’s known actions, there is no evidence that he took any logistic consideration. The rifle is found dropped on the floor. He is found on a lower floor, appearing quite calm. Was that it? Was that the length of his forethought on escape? ‘I’m going to shoot the president, drop the gun, rush downstairs and act coy?’
Surely that can’t be it.
As far as we know about the circumstances in the Depository, this appears to be it. This is amazing. The object of his attack is the president. This in itself would impress upon any would-be assassin that he must pre-plan carefully. In Oswald’s case it would be doubly important since this was his place of work.
What is comes down to is that Oswald is lucky to get out of the building before it is closed by the police. He takes a bus, then a cab, then goes to his apartment, changes, takes a pistol and then leaves. He is next seen at North Patton and East 10th, not a great neighborhood in Dallas. Here Officer Tippit approaches him, and Oswald is far from cool and collected. He shoots Tippet and flees. Next he is seen before the Texas Theater and from there the rest is history. He is seized inside and taken to the police station.
If we continue to take things logistically, we begin to get a nagging feeling that President Kennedy was indeed killed by a conspiracy. I mean this in the legal usage of the word. A criminal conspiracy is merely two or more people agreeing to break the law and trying to bring it to pass. Criminal conspiracy is a daily charge in court. It is a far cry from a conspiracy theory, many of which are only excuses for why their chief proponents can’t find evidence for their outlandish ideas (e.g. Obama educated on Mars).
Conspiracy is seen mostly in comparing Oswald’s actions with those of his attempt on General Walker. Oswald had no car. One does not walk along the streets for miles with a rifle in hand. Someone had obviously provided him with a car in the Walker assassination attempt, or drove him, for two men were seen fleeing that scene in separate cars.
Where was this second man now after the Kennedy assassination? Of course, no one would be dumb enough to be waiting in a car outside the Depository. Yet in leaving his apartment and taking a pistol, Oswald had most certainly armed himself for his escape. He must have gone to the area of North Patton to meet someone in order to escape the country. Instead he is intercepted by Tippit. He panics and shoots Tippit when confronted and then flees.
Why would someone who had planned the Walker assassination attempt appropriately (in the dark of night), who also logistically sized up where he must strike his target along the long motorcade route from Love Field, take such a bold and hopeless move as to get a job at the best location from which to shoot the president, and then strike from his own place of work, and think he could merely get away with it by acting nonchalant?
Without some offer of cover or help of escape, I don’t think Oswald would have, and his actions immediately after getting out of the Texas Schoolbook Depository smack of someone arming himself to meet a contact in order to be led out of the nation. Once again, after the attempted Edwin Walker assassination, two men were seen fleeing the next door church parking lot in separate cars. Two days before the attack, a neighbor saw two men around Walker’s home peeking in the windows.
In support of the theory of a criminal conspiracy is the one act that has nagged at most Americans ever since. It is less than 48 hours after JFK is murdered that Oswald himself is murdered by Jack Ruby, a petty racketeer and nightclub owner. Yet more disturbing than this is the fact that Ruby impersonated a newspaperman the very night of the assassination and was there at the police station trying to get close to Oswald. He admitted later that he had a revolver with him at this time.
This means that before Oswald was even publicly accused, charged and arraigned for the murder of President Kennedy, Ruby was certain he was guilty. This is interesting in itself.
The theory is that Ruby was distraught and sought revenge. Yes, theory comes easy. But what are the logistics of someone, especially Ruby, right away trying to go kill Oswald? Ruby was no stranger to police routine and history. After something as big as a presidential assassination Ruby would know that a police dragnet would draw in loads of flotsam and jetsam. It’s true after every famous crime. Persons of interest are numerous and tagged by the police. Until the right one is identified and captured, they are not released. This is routine. In monumental crimes innocent people have been brought in and held before being released for lack of evidence. It is neither wrong nor high handed on the police’s part. Suspects are suspects. But Ruby is certain, that very night even before arraignment Ruby is certain Oswald is the right man and he is there to kill Oswald. Pretty precipitous. Pretty revealing as well.
One’s actions tell us everything. One must act according to their motive. It is impossible to prevent this. Even madmen act in response to their motives, and from their actions we can not only see they are crazy but how they are crazy. But Ruby wasn’t crazy. From his actions, even before he was successful, we can see he believed that Oswald had to die, and die quickly, that very night.
Last year the 50th anniversary of President Kennedy’s assassination brought much speculation to the forefront yet again. Even Secretary of State John Kerry expressed his view that a conspiracy had taken place. Not the overblown conspiracy theories. Not the grassy knoll stuff. But he speculated that there was some inspiration somewhere provided by someone to Lee Harvey Oswald that emboldened him to carry out a very risky assassination. Based on the logistics, I tend to agree. There was a serpent in the tree somewhere saying “thou shalt surely not die if thou eatest of the fruit of this tree.” Not another shooter. The Depository is proof that “he” or “they” (the sponsors) were dependent on a mediocre gunman who could only hit while in line-of-sight. If Oswald did not dope this out himself, there must have been manipulation, encouragement and perhaps even a proposed escape route offered by others.
What needs to be done is to take the General Edwin Walker assassination attempt to heart and from there see where it leads us. The Mafia sure wasn’t after him. Nor was the CIA. Was it Cuba? Was it someone else?
For 25 years Gian J. Quasar has investigated a broad range of mysterious subjects, from strange disappearances to serial murders, earning in that time the unique distinction of being likened to “the real life Kolchak.” However, he is much more at home with being called The Quester. “He’s bloody eccentric, an historian with no qualifications who sticks his nose into affairs and gets results.” He is the author of several books, one of which inspired a Resolution in Congress.