It seems that Coincidence is almost a malevolent spirt. Like the Dementor in Harry Potter it comes to drain your wits and misguide you. It is the worst wraith to encounter in any investigation, and it seems the Dementor named Coincidence visits every case.
We are aware of famous examples of Coincidence. Morgan Robertson’s novel about a huge luxury liner’s maiden voyage is well known. Futility was published in 1898, detailing the events of the maiden voyage of the world’s largest luxury liner. It was unsinkable, and yet it encountered an iceberg and sank in the North Atlantic. Half of its passengers were lost. It sank 400 nautical miles off New Foundland. This was 14 years before the same events happened to the liner Titanic in the exact location off New Foundland. In Robertson’s novel the ship was named . . . Titan.
I have personally experienced such coincidence. In 2005 a few months after Tom Cruise and Paula Wagner had optioned my book Into the Bermuda Triangle my very New York agent contacts me and tells me the screenwriter, Caspian Tredwell Owen, wants to talk to me. Her first words after that: “He must be an Englishman.” Indeed he was. He called me to get some information. Both friendly and curious, he told me the general plot of the script. A jumbo jet vanishes in the Triangle. A man’s wife is aboard and vanishes with it. Husband cannot believe that a jumbo and all those people can just vanish. He sets off to discover the truth about the incident and the Triangle . . . I can well imagine the hero of the story encountered many adventurous and mysterious things.
Frankly, I didn’t think a jumbo could vanish anymore. However, 9 years later in 2014 the plot of the screenplay essentially comes to pass in real life when Malaysian Flight 370 vanished. Had the film been made instead of being shelved, no doubt it would have been referred to repeatedly as yet another eerie example of art predicting life.
In cold case investigation, The Dementor is particularly dangerous. Clues, even evidence, can lie if interpreted incorrectly. Until the final strand falls into place, one can never allow themselves to be fooled by their own favorite theories. Everything must fit. Clues that don’t fit simply can’t be ignored or explained away. They must be incorporated into the deductive process. If they can’t be, then it is time to worry and reassess. Every clue that doesn’t fit is potentially as door waiting to be opened that leads elsewhere and to another suspect.
Let us keep this in mind as anticipation is building on a particular case that I have become quite high-profile in. Word is coming back to me that I have identified the EAR/ONS. Any such dogmatic statement is premature. I am still waiting on information. A person of interest is achieving exposure, but you must remember that more than one detective expressed certainty there had to be an accomplice on a few occasions. I do not know where the official investigation is at this juncture, if anywhere. I continue on with my own, the major goal is to eliminate or confirm a POI that was within my network of auto wrecking, and later turned to grave shift security.
Don’t be anxious. There’s lots of politics to murder. This is not a negative assessment. In cold case this is the way it is. In my next post I will finally elaborate on The Politics of Murder.
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For 25 years Gian J. Quasar has investigated a broad range of mysterious subjects, from strange disappearances to serial murders, earning in that time the unique distinction of being likened to “the real life Kolchak.” However, he is much more at home with being called The Quester. “He’s bloody eccentric, an historian with no qualifications who sticks his nose into affairs and gets results.” He is the author of several books, one of which inspired a Resolution in Congress.